Association Adrastia : “Nous sommes à la veille d’un basculement écologique planétaire inédit”

Le Comptoir

L’association Adrastia travaille sur le franchissement du “climax” de l’humanité. Face à cet inévitable déclin, Adrastia se propose d’apporter information et réflexion, tant d’un point de vue scientifique que social, sur les grands enjeux écologiques et économiques pour “anticiper au mieux la dégradation systémique de nos cadres de vie”. Nous nous sommes entretenus avec son président, Vincent Mignerot sur le mirage de l’éternelle croissance et l’effondrement à venir.

Le Comptoir : Au début de votre manifeste, vous dites : “Le “peak” de disponibilité de l’ensemble des ressources nécessaires à notre existence a été franchi”. Pouvez-vous rapidement présenter les arguments sous-tendant cette observation ?

Vincent-Mignerot-portrait-Dannreuther-9.2Vincent Mignerot : Si l’humanité a évolué jusqu’au XVIIIe siècle en satisfaisant ses besoins par l’exploitation quasi exclusive de matières premières et de ressources énergétiques – animale, végétale, minérale, hydraulique et éolienne – disponibles à la surface de la Terre, le développement de…

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Snowball in Hell: Greenland Ice Sheet Record Thaw

Climate Denial Crock of the Week

greenlandspikeDiscover:

On April 11, a dramatic early spike in melting of snow and ice at the surface of Greenland’s ice sheet prompted a Danish climate scientist to say that she and her colleagues were “incredulous.”

Now, there has been a second bout of unusual melting.

You can see both of them in the graph above from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, or NSIDC. It charts the percentage of the Greenland Ice Sheet experiencing surface melting. In both cases, the thaw exceeded 10 percent of the ice sheet’s area.

One more reason to support Dark Snow this year:

supportdarksnowNow is the time to support the 2016 Dark Snow Field campaign. More about that here.

When I noticed the second spike, I reached out by email to Ted Scambos, lead scientist for the NSIDC science team, to get his reaction to what has been happening in the Arctic lately. Here was his reply:

The Arctic…

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Katharine Hayhoe’s Quick Climate Snap for Earth Day

Climate Denial Crock of the Week

OK, your Aunt Polly is not going to sit thru a full lecture from Kevin Trenberth.(see that below on this page)
But here’s an under-four-minute snapshot from Katharine Hayhoe, delivered on Earth day to a group students.
Elegant, simple and informative. Communicators, take notes.

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Crise énergétique ? Mais non, crise entropique !

Science étonnante

petrole_300Nous vivons en ce moment une crise énergétique. Chaque jour on entend qu’il faut économiser l’énergie, que nos ressources d’énergie s’épuisent, ou qu’il faut trouver de nouveaux moyens d’en produire.

Et pourtant dans le même temps, en cours de physique, on apprend que l’énergie se conserve : elle ne peut être ni créée, ni détruite. N’y a-t-il pas là une contradiction ? Pourquoi nous parle-t-on d’économiser l’énergie, si l’énergie se conserve ?

Pour comprendre cet apparent paradoxe, il faut faire appel à cette étrange notion qu’est l’entropie. Et nous allons voir que ce que nous appelons communément la crise énergétique est en réalité une crise entropique !

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The UN should negotiate with Venezuela on a stop to Orinoco oil production

Aleklett's Energy Mix

The illustration is from the book Peeking at Peak Oil.

Since OPEC decided in November 2014 against reducing the supply of oil on the world market by decreasing production and so force up the price, international headlines have mainly addressed the topics of Saudi Arabia’s oil production behaviour, Russia’s economic problems, the slowing Chinese economy and the difficulties that the fracking industry in the USA is encountering. What has not been discussed as much in the media is the painful economic problems being encountered by some OPEC nations. What will happen to some of these nations when their problems exceed the threshold of pain that they can withstand? Venezuela is a member of OPEC and it is becoming apparent that it has reached, or passed, its economic pain threshold.

Venezuela is completely dependent on trade income from oil exports. It is also probably the world’s oldest oil-exporting nation. When the…

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Why We Have an Oversupply of Almost Everything (Oil, labor, capital, etc.)

Great paper

Our Finite World

The Wall Street Journal recently ran an article called, Glut of Capital and Labor Challenge Policy Makers: Global oversupply extends beyond commodities, elevating deflation risk. To me, this is a very serious issue, quite likely signaling that we are reaching what has been called Limits to Growth, a situation modeled in 1972 in a book by that name.

What happens is that economic growth eventually runs into limits. Many people have assumed that these limits would be marked by high prices and excessive demand for goods. In my view, the issue is precisely the opposite one: Limits to growth are instead marked by low prices and inadequate demand. Common workers can no longer afford to buy the goods and services that the economy produces, because of inadequate wage growth. The price of all commodities drops, because of lower demand by workers. Furthermore, investors can no longer find investments that…

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